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Expertise

2025: A dry year, a rainy July

Marco Natkhin, Tanja Sanders | 20.03.2026


WO Institute of Forest Ecosystems

In the exceptionally dry year of 2025, hardly any new groundwater was replenished. Only an extremely wet July provided temporary relief. Nevertheless, the water stored in the soil was sufficient to sustain the vegetation, meaning that the trees did not suffer any significant damage from the drought. This is shown by data from our experimental site in Britz.

Precipitation

2025 was a dry year for the forest. Only 533 millimetres of rainfall fell at the intensive monitoring site in Britz. Although this amount of rainfall was below average, it did not yet qualify as extreme. What was unusual was the distribution of rain and snow throughout 2025: in July, 190 millimetres fell, accounting for more than a third of the total annual rainfall. Without the rainy July, 2025 would have been the driest year in the observation period from 1993 to 2025. 2026 also began with particularly low rainfall.

Monthly precipitation amounts in mm for the years 2023-2025 and long-term average

 

Jan

Feb

Mar

Apr

May

Jun

Jul

Aug

Sep

Okt

Nov

Dez

Year

Average 1993-2022

53

42

42

31

57

68

76

59

52

45

45

51

619

Year 2023

81

50

100

49

12

53

42

58

12

82

54

103

696

Year 2024

64

90

31

35

29

48

60

57

35

39

57

42

588

Year 2025

74

32

11

10

14

38

190

24

40

48

36

17

533

During the growing season, plants can often compensate for the lack of water by drawing on water stored in the soil from the winter months. However, at the end of 2024 and the beginning of 2025, there was so little rain and snow that the soil’s water reserves were only partially replenished. The conditions at the start of the growing season were therefore unfavourable. The rainy July, however, alleviated the water shortage and ensured that no acute Drought stress was observed in the plants on the experimental plot. 

Damage to the forest in 2025 was mainly caused by late night frosts in early May, after the leaves on oaks and beeches had already unfurled. Young stands growing outside established stands without the protection of larger trees are usually particularly affected by this.

Deep infiltration

In terms of deep infiltration – that is, the water that later becomes new groundwater – 2025 was a poor year. It was notable that, among the young oak stands – which consistently yield the highest values – the researchers measured only 10 millimetres of new groundwater. In the dry year of 2019, the figure was significantly higher at 75 millimetres. No new groundwater was formed beneath either pine or beech trees. Under beech trees, this last occurred during the drought of 2019.

The rain in the wet month of July primarily replenished the water reserves in the soil and directly benefited the vegetation. The water did not seep into deeper soil layers. The groundwater table therefore did not benefit from the rainfall – unlike during the heavy summer downpours of previous years.

Tree growth

Despite the drought, the beech and pine trees in the experimental plot in Britz grew well on average in 2025 compared with the previous six years. This is evident from measurements of trunk circumference. The circumference increased particularly markedly in July 2025 following the heavy rainfall. However, this does not necessarily mean growth, as the bark – particularly on pine trees – can also shrink and swell depending on moisture levels.

When trees are under drought stress, they are unable to build up water and energy reserves. This has a long-term effect on wood formation in subsequent years. The drought can also damage roots and cause crowns to shrink, which likewise affects tree growth in the years that follow.

Further information

All soil moisture data for the years 2019 to 2025 are available on the website of the Britz Intensive Monitoring Station.


Further reading

2024: Good conditions for spring budburst

There has not been this much rain in winter since the series of measurements began in 1993: between November 2023 and February 2024, 311 millimetres of precipitation fell at the Thünen research station in Britz. This means that the plant world has the best conditions for spring - at least on the permeable sandy soils of Brandenburg.

More
2024: Good conditions for spring budburst

Rain in July balances water levels in the forest

This July the weather, while not particularly suitable for outdoor swimming, was good news for the forests. After the long dry spell in spring, plenty of rainfall on the Thünen experimental site in Britz balanced the deficit out. Other research plots showed that the moors are also well filled.

More
Rain in July balances water levels in the forest

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