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A timber truck fully loaded with logs drives over a very simple wooden bridge in a forest.
A timber truck fully loaded with logs drives over a very simple wooden bridge in a forest.
Institute of

WF Forestry

New publication: “Cross-scale feedbacks and tipping points in aggregated models of socio-ecological systems”

A stronger consideration of cross-scale dynamics in models of socio-ecological systems (SESs) is of increasing importance, but this is fundamentally difficult to do.

Graph: Modelling cross-scale feedbacks, tipping points, and cascades in socio-ecological system
© Barbrook-Johnson, P., van Voorn, G., Wang, H.-H., Zare, F., Grant, W. E., Posnik, Z., & Lippe, M.

Modelling cross-scale feedbacks, tipping points, and cascades in socio-ecological system

Focussing on cross-scale feedbacks and tipping points, this study uses three examples to demonstrate and reflect on how cross-scale dynamics can be incorporated into aggregate SESs models. It further discusses how aggregated models can capture tipping points, i.e., critical thresholds where small changes can lead to significant shifts in the system's state. 
Recognizing these tipping points is crucial for understanding potential abrupt changes in SESs, and can inform policy decisions by identifying leverage points and potential unintended consequences of interventions in SES.
(Published under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License)

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