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A timber truck fully loaded with logs drives over a very simple wooden bridge in a forest.
A timber truck fully loaded with logs drives over a very simple wooden bridge in a forest.
Institute of

WF Forestry

New Publication: “How to define and quantify substitution effects in the bioeconomy: a scoping review”

A literature review to explore how methods to assess substitution effects could be incorporated in a monitoring of the bioeconomy.

Spatial scope of scientific research on Substitution effects within bioeconomy
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Spatial scope of scientific research on Substitution effects within bioeconomy

The aim of this scoping review is to examine how substitution effects are defined and assessed in the bioeconomy literature. The article identifies methodological trends, research gaps, and implications for monitoring biomass use. The review follows the PRISMA guidelines for scientific reviews.

Results show that the predominant literature focuses on material and energetic substitution, primarily woody biomass. Life Cycle Assessment (LCA) is the dominant methodology, with the displacement factor (DF, also: substitution factor) frequently used as the quantification metric. Reviewed research concentrates on sectors such as construction, energy, and other wood-based industries. It often emphasizes CO2-related mitigation indicators. 

While LCA remains the dominant method, we can conclude, however, that robust interdisciplinary assessments require complementary approaches — such as e. g. behavioral economics and physical accounting— to fully capture substitution effects. In Addition, expanding the analytical scope beyond purely environmental concerns will enable a more comprehensive assessment of substitution effects.

Contact at the Thünen Institute:

Holger Weimar
Dr. Holger Weimar
Phone
+49 40 739 62 314 | +49 531 2570 1463
holger.weimar@thuenen.de
Institute of Forestry
Head of Working Area Forest Products Markets
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