To quantify the impact of policy measures for rural development, the development of the pan European model “Common Agricultural Policy Regionalised Impact - The Rural Development Dimension” (CAPRI-RD) was the first important step. During the development process it became clear that measures to promote the rural area can only be modelled successfully, if national experts validate them continuously. In the TRUSTEE project, national experts come together to further continue this procedure.
In the year 2000, a comprehensive catalogue of measures for promoting rural areas in the EU was established, known as the "second Pillar" of the Common Agricutural Policy (CAP). In addition to the conventional intervention measures of the agricultural policy, which are implemented uniformly in the EU, the second Pillar measures were implemented, which are designed region specific and very divers. They are also different by targeting not only the agricultural holdings but also other sectors in the rural economy. To estimate this impacts and the interrelationships between them, we enhanced in the previous project the modelling system „Common Agricultural Policy Regionalised Impact Modelling System“ (CAPRI) by regional Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) models – the “Common Agricultural Policy Regionalised Impact - The Rural Development Dimension” (CAPRI-RD) evolved. Through this enhancement, all economic sectors of rural areas could successfully be displayed. In the validation of the model results, the direction of the impact of second Pillar measures was confirmed. However, it revealed that it is of high importance to consider the regional differences in the design of the measures. This will now be our mission in the TRUSTEE project with assistance of national experts for the countries Germany, Sweden and France. Furthermore, we will validate the CAPRI baseline, using national data for Germany, Spain and Ireland, and will include these results in the before mentioned project tasks.
The CAPRI baseline will be validated together with project partners from Spain and Ireland for the respective countries. For this purpose, the CAPRI baseline will be compiled annually and compared with national model results, based on selected indicators. Significant differences between the models will be analysed and discussed with national experts on the annual Training Sessions. Missing issues will be considered for the CAPRI baseline in the following year. We will use the gained findings from the baseline validation also to validate the simulation of the second Pillar in the model. For this, we will take into account and further develop the points for optimizing the simulation of the second Pillar, identified during the CAPRI-RD project before. The focus will be on regional differences but also measure specific for selected countries.
For the baseline validation, we will compare the CAPRI baseline with national baselines (or alternatively with other national data) for the countries Germany, Spain and Ireland. We plan to conduct expert interviews in Germany, Sweden and France to optimize the simulation of the differently designed second Pillar measures in the EU Member States. Additionally, evaluation reports should be studied and an extensive literature review will be carried out. For the comparison of model results, different simulations need to be calculated using the CAPRI model.
9.2013 - 2.2017
Project status: ongoing