Institute of

International Forestry and Forest Economics

Secretariat

Anna Frerck
Institute of International Forestry and Forest Economics

Leuschnerstraße 91
21031 Hamburg-Bergedorf
Phone: +49 40 739 62 301
Fax: +49 40 739 62 399
wf@thuenen.de


Article about the development of carbon balance in Germany published

New

How do carbon pools in German forests and forest products develop over time? Which impact do have forest management, change of market conditions and an altered national energy mix on these carbon pools?

(© Matthias Rütze)

We tried to answer these questions in our recently published article 'Simulation of forest-based carbon balances for Germany: a contribution to the carbon debt debate'. We could show that in the upcoming 200 years in Germany only a radical change of forest management would lead to net-carbon emmissions from forests and forest products.

We also estimated the amount of carbon emmissions that is avoided due to the fact that using forest products replaces non-renewable products (substitution effect). We could show that the avoided emmissions are a multiple higher than the changes of the forest and forest products carbon pools. Even the net carbon emmissions that would occur with a radical change of forest management would be overcompensated by the substitution effect. Like for all other scnenarios, the carbon balance would be clearly positive.

Age class distribution of the German forests and the starting point as from where the changes of the carbon pools are looked at predominantly determine our results. Changing market conditions and an altered national energy mix do have a comparably smaller impact on the results.

Schweinle J, Köthke M, Englert H, Dieter M (2017) Simulation of forest-based carbon balances for Germany: a contribution to the "carbon debt" debate. WIREs Energy Environ(e260):1-15, DOI:10.1002/wene.260