Long-term analysis of international grain and oilseed markets
What factors influence grain and oilseed markets? How have grain and oilseed markets developed and how could they develop in the future? Answers to these questions help to understand and explain markets. This is essential for policy makers, market participants and consumers to assess the effects of market interventions.
We analyze markets for grains, oilseeds and their processed products. Of special interest is the development of production and demand as well as the formation of prices. Our focus is on the identification and quantification of factors influencing markets and their developments. We analyze global and macro-economic factors, for example population and income development, but also special regional impacts, for example the European Common Agricultural Policy (CAP).
The target group includes stakeholders in the supply chain for grains and oilseeds (producers, traders, processors and consumers), food retailers and consumer organizations, science, public authorities and government.
Besides particular analysis, we are monitoring the markets on the national, European and international levels. For this, we use national and international statistics. We prepare reports on current market developments as well as studies concerning specific aspects, for example impacts of biofuel policies. The communication with market participants improves our market analysis further.
What factors influence grain and oilseed markets and their processed products? How will these markets develop? To what extent do, for example, population growth, income and changes in diets influence these markets?
How do policy measures (for example biofuel policy, trade policy, the CAP) influence German and international markets?
What influences do changes in other regions of the world have on German and European markets?
The following markets are monitored and analyzed by the Thünen Institute besides the markets for grain and oilseeds:
Permanent task 1.2016 - 12.2025