FACCE-JPI:"Modelling European Agriculture with Climate Change for Food Security" (MACSUR): Project part vTI
The growing global population is requiring more food. At the same time, climate change makes agriculture a challenge many regions with a fast growing population. In this project, we develop integrated methods to make projections with models, study impacts, ways of mitigation and adaptation. These are first developed for Europe with a goal to apply the methods also in other regions.
The FACCE knowledge hub MACSUR improves the modelling of European agriculture under the effect of climate change and its possible effects on global food security. The work is organized in three themes on modelling of crop and livestock production and trade of agricultural and food products. The partnership consists of 70 partners from 18 countries (17 European plus Israel).
The overarching challenge is to develop and foster a pan-European capacity in the development, use and interpretation of models to perform risk assessments of the impacts of climate change on European agriculture. MACSUR aims at the creation of research capacities within each theme and especially at the creation of research capacities integrating two or three themes. The projects addresses these aims in three areas:
• Improvment of integraton among existing quantitative models within the themes of crops. livestock, and trade. This includes their closer integration including issues of scale and data processing.
• Reducing the uncertainty of effects of climate change on European agriculture and food security by developping integrated models across the three themes.
• Education and training of junior scientists in the area of integration and application of quntitative analysis instruments. Apart from improving the technical integration of models, the projects emphasizes training in interpreting and application of results of various models for political impacts. Therefore, MACSUR stresses the integration of modellers over the integration of models.
The integrative modelling approach will be first applied to individual European regions in pilot studies. The experience gained in these pilot studies regarding data requirements, data exchange, and necessary model extensions provide the foundation for developing a research strategy for a Europe-wide analysis of the impact of climate change on European agricuture and food security.
The contribution of Thünen Institute comprises the coordination of the project and contribution sto tasks within subthemes of crop production (CropM), livestock porduction (LiveM), and trade (TradeM). The contributions are provided in the context of and in collaboration with the other MACSUR partners.
6.2012 - 6.2017