AGMEMOD in brief

AGMEMOD is a system of econometric estimated partial equilibrium models of the different EU member states representing and projecting important agricultural activities of the regions.


Type

Numerical simulation model

Typical application

Impact analysis of change in the CAP (e.g. intervention price cuts, quota abolition)

Important co-operations

AGMEMOD partnership with the research institutions LEI, INRA, FOI, MTT, TEAGASC, VUZE, IEABG, EAU, LSIAE, LAEI and universities BOKU, UCL, NKUA, CUB, UNIVPM, UNL, SAU, LJUB as well as the EU Commission (JRC: IPTS)

Special features

  • EU-wide  co operation of member states and (possible) candidate countries
  • Template of a country version which will be adapted to national characteristics by the Thünen Institute for Germany and other project partners for their countries respectively
  • Graphical user interface

Data base

Base year 2004, 2006; base period for econometric estimation 1973 to 2006

Regions / Countries (EU)

14 industrialised countries, 10 transformation countries; 24-EU member states (inclusive Romania and Bulgaria; without Luxembourg, Malta and Cyprus); Macedonia; Croatia; Russia; Ukraine; Turkey.
According to FAO classification.

Sectors

37 in total; 20 agricultural sectors; 17 food sectors

Policy measures

Tarif rate quotas; limits for subsidised exports;  output quotas; intervention prices; direct payments; decoupling; set aside

Trade

Imports Exports respective net-trade of EU

Endogenous variables

Prices and quantities on agricultural and food markets; areas; number of animals; yields

Exogenous variables

Policy variables (e.g. intervention prices; premiums; tariff rate quotas);  factor endowments; GDP, population, exchange rates; inflation; technical coefficients e.g. fat content

Software

EVIEWS (econometric estimation), GAMS, GTREE (modelling)

Contact person